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		<title>Greece’s Fight Against the Coronavirus</title>
		<link>https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/greeces-fight-against-the-coronavirus/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sofia Tzortzi]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2020 13:04:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cep.org.rs/?post_type=blog&#038;p=10876</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Prosocial Behaviour with Genuine Motives</p>
<p>Članak <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/greeces-fight-against-the-coronavirus/">Greece’s Fight Against the Coronavirus</a> se pojavljuje prvo na <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/homepage/">European Policy Centre</a>.</p>
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<p>Portrayed as one the world’s greatest success stories in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, Greece, the EU’s black sheep, flattened its curve and curbed the outbreak, against all odds. On 6&nbsp;May it had recorded a total of 2,663 cases and 147 deaths. To put these numbers into perspective, Belgium, an EU member state with a comparable population, counted a total of 50,781 cases and 8,339 deaths by that day.</p>



<p>The measures implemented in Greece are not profoundly original. On the contrary, everyday life in Greece changed in the same manner as elsewhere in Europe. These changes, however, occurred right on time, with the strict enforcement of various restrictive measures created in response to day-to-day monitoring of the pandemic. Overall, the government showed quick reflexes and seriousness in responding to the matter. Some say that Greece got only lucky because the virus arrived in the country quite late, on 26 February. This might be true. But this is not what we should focus on. What’s important here is that Greek authorities followed experts’ advice, and demonstrated unprecedented alertness, responsiveness and seriousness on the matter, while also avoiding abuses to fundamental rights, such as the rule of law and protections for the country’s most vulnerable populations.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Measures taken and performance results</h3>



<p>On the basis of recommendations provided by an ad-hoc scientific committee set up for the state of emergency and consisting of top epidemiologists, virologists and infectious disease experts, various preventive measures were taken to limit the spread of the disease. These measures included medical checks, the closure of certain public places, the suspension of artistic and sporting events, as well as the self-isolation of travellers coming from Wuhan, all of which were adopted before the rapid spread of the disease in Italy and the detection of the first case in Greece. One day after Greece’s first case was detected, carnival festivities scheduled for 29 February were cancelled. Furthermore, a decision was made to close all of Greece’s educational facilities on 10 March, only five days after a similar measure in Italy, when there were still only 89 confirmed cases and zero deaths associated with the coronavirus in Greece. Importantly, during the first wave of infections, each new case was meticulously traced.</p>



<p>Following the rapid growth of cases in Greece, which doubled within two days in early March, the government announced that retail businesses, hair and beauty salons, restaurants, cafes, bars, cinemas, theatres, gyms, museums, and other public places would be shut down as of 13 March, with the violation of this exceptional measure a criminal offence punishable with a fine of €5,000 and, in certain cases, with custodial sentences, as prescribed by Greek criminal code provisions on the prevention of the spread of infectious diseases. Hotels also closed on 19 March. At the same time, the “We stay at home” campaign, encouraging voluntary self-isolation and the avoidance of social interaction, was launched, travel to and from affected countries was restricted, and travellers from abroad were strongly advised to voluntarily self-isolate for 14 days. Remote working was encouraged and a special leave was mandated for parents of school-aged children. To support the economy, compensation was provided for employees of businesses whose operations were suspended and the rents of certain professional spaces were reduced. In addition, compulsory in-house isolation was imposed on residents of certain small communities where infected people were detected. What initially seemed to be “mission impossible”, a ban on religious gatherings and communions, also became a reality: services took place behind closed doors with solely priests present. Land borders were closed and air travel was suspended from and to several countries. Non-EU as well as UK, Italian, and Spanish citizens were not allowed to enter Greece outside of certain exceptions (such as for spouses, minor children, residents, members of government delegations, and passengers in transit).</p>



<p>The infamous “lockdown” was initiated on 23 March when Greece counted 629 confirmed cases and 15 deaths. The rationale behind this policy was based on the horizontal restriction of movement; movement was allowed at any time of the day but only for specific purposes and was subject to a “home exit” permit that citizens were granted by means of an official declaration or by sending a text/SMS message to the competent authority. Permitted movements were limited to essential work, getting food supplies, visiting doctors or pharmacies, attending ceremonies such as funerals or weddings, visiting children as divorced parents, assisting people in need, walking pets, and working out. Violations were punishable by a fine of €150, which doubled on the “trickier” days such as the Holy Week of Orthodox Easter and the 1<sup>st</sup>&nbsp;of May. Unlike limits and curfews based on different times of the day, the Greek lockdown instead focused on the purposes of movement and providing as much dispersal of citizens as possible. In response to long queues at supermarkets on the lockdown’s first day, opening hours were extended from 9am-9pm to 7am-10pm. This system, overall, worked well. The SMS service for exit permits also proved very handy. Private actors also contributed their share, as the market quickly self-regulated, with many stores launching e-shops and delivery options in no time.</p>



<p>Remote or suspended work, closed schools, good weather, the fear of contracting the virus in big agglomerations, and Easter customs drove a significant section of the population to travel to their holiday residences in the countryside. Responding to this trend, movements outside of citizens’ regions of residence were also banned.</p>



<p>The return to “normality” started with the gradual easement of the lockdown from 4 May. Most restrictions on movement have since been lifted, but travel limitations outside regions of residence still apply (islands, for instance, are still only accessible to their permanent residents). Retail stores, means of public transport, hair/beauty salons, and churches are reopening with special precautions, such as requirements for protective masks and appointments, and limitations on the number of people allowed per square meter. Classes for graduate students will also restart on 11 May. Hotels, restaurants, cafes, and malls generally open year-round will reopen on the 1st of June. Gyms, theatres and cinemas, universities, nursery and primary schools, and the borders will remain closed, air travel will be suspended, and social distancing will remain in force until further notice, perhaps until early June. The Greek government expects to “open” the country for tourism in July, according to the Greek premier. The plan for this gradual easement is not set in stone, however, and is still subject to the results of day-to-day monitoring. On 6 May, for example, the government decided to close a central plaza in a suburb of northern Athens (Aghia Paraskevi) after a big party was organised there a day before. At the same time, as there have been few new detected cases in the last days of April and beginning of May, contact tracing has been reinitiated.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Law &amp; order</strong></h3>



<p>During the first month of the quarantine, the national police reported 51,777 lockdown violations and 1,134 instances of unnecessary travel outside districts of residence. 512 businesses were also found to be operating illegally. Penalties collected for these violations totalled to approximately €9.3 million. There is a twofold meaning of these relatively high numbers: on the one hand, that Greeks are not necessarily disciplined, and, on the other, that the authorities meant business! There were stringent police controls throughout the country, with police officers stationed at all major junctions in the cities, highway tolls, and pedestrian zones, checking cars as well as pedestrians. The police even deployed drones and manned helicopters, especially during the Holy Week and Easter, to keep an eye on the customary exodus to the countryside and the islands. Law enforcement officers did not even relent for the few “rebel” priests and churchgoers who defied restrictions; those who performed and attended open services were arrested and fined.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">A legitimate deviation from fundamental rights: what about access to asylum?</h3>



<p>Considering the unprecedented state of this public health emergency and COVID-19’s death rate and transmissibility, the balance clearly leans towards the protection of public health instead of towards other fundamental rights such as the right to private and family life, the freedom to manifest one’s religion and freedom of assembly.</p>



<p>From the early stages of measures being taken to counteract the virus, there was a great deal of discussion about religious rights. The exceptional measures coincided with two major festivals: Orthodox Easter and Muslim Ramadan. Orthodox Christianity is by far the predominant faith in Greece, with 90 percent of the population as adherents. Although the Greek Orthodox Church (eventually) backed restrictions on the attendance of services, a handful of clergy and worshipers reacted against the prohibitions, claiming their right to manifest their religion. Similarly, for the about 1 percent of Greeks who are Muslims, mostly from the Muslim minority in Western Thrace (northern Greece), and another 20,000-30,000 Muslims residing in Greece, prayers are allowed only at home.</p>



<p>Despite the strong reactions and debate they provoked,&nbsp;<strong>all&nbsp;</strong>restrictive measures affecting the general population fulfil the threshold of proportionality and can be legitimately justified for the protection of public health and human life.</p>



<p>Greece is a functioning democracy, in which disregarding the rule of law is not a common phenomenon. No police abuse has been reported despite strict enforcement measures, and the privacy and personal data of patients are duly protected. Nor were any cases of racism or discrimination noted, even when residents of Roma settlements tested positive for COVID-19. This was also the case when people in residence at the refugee camps of Ritsona and Malakasa as well as at a hotel in Kranidi hosting asylum seekers tested positive for the virus. Reassuring citizens with a rapid response, including thorough testing, sealing off respective sites, and supplying confined communities with necessary goods and medical treatment likely allayed public fears.</p>



<p>Even without considering popular phobias and discrimination, protecting the most vulnerable parts of the population, mainly asylum seekers living in (often) overcrowded “reception and identification centres” (RIC) is difficult. NGOs have repeatedly called on the need to decongest those camps which pose “a real threat to public health”, according to Médecins Sans Frontières. Precautionary measures, including taking temperatures, distributing information documents, and creating special health spaces inside the RICs, were introduced. Any new arrivals would self-isolate outside the RICs while movement of RIC residents outside their camps was restricted, in what is a justifiable deviation from the right to liberty. A special health insurance card is also now issued to all registered asylum-seekers, giving free access to the national healthcare system. On top of this, on 4 May, about 400 asylum seekers were relocated to mainland Greece in order to decongest camps on the isle of Lesbos. More should follow.</p>



<p>A big question relates to how people may effectively seek international protection. The UNHCR has warned that exceptional measures invoked to prevent the spread of COVID-19 may compromise asylum procedures. Even so, in a move criticised by the UN and humanitarian NGOs as lacking a legal basis, Greece has suspended all administrative asylum services requiring personal contact such as registrations, interviews, and appeal submissions, to name a few. Also, since the beginning of March, and not so much in relation to the spread of COVID-19 but more in order to respond to Turkey’s permitting of thousands of migrants to cross the Greek border, Greece has bolstered its border force to deter migrants from attempting to cross. This strategy continued and was further strengthened in the context of the current public health crisis, in an attempt to contain the influx of undocumented migrants. Greece has recently adopted a dogma of “aggressive surveillance” and deterrence in this regard, and, according to Greek police, only 39 migrants have crossed the sea border since the 1<sup>st</sup>&nbsp;of April.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">“It’s the economy, stupid”</h3>



<p>Greece, which was about to emerge from a 12-year-long financial crisis, now faces the risk of a post-COVID-19 recession. Considering the risk of recession worldwide even for solid economies, a weakened Greece faces an even bigger threat. Greece locked down relatively early, and the measures taken so far have paralysed its fragile economy, with a potential downturn of about 10 percent of GDP. The Greek government has explained that the strict and early measures it took were a conscious decision to put public health over financial concerns. But was this really the case or was it rather an effort to salvage the economy?</p>



<p>Greece’s economy is largely dependent on tourism, the sector representing about 25 percent of the country’s GDP and employment. In 2019, revenues from tourism were €18 billion. The Greek Chamber of Commerce has announced that already in April the loss of profit from cancelled reservations had surpassed €0.5 billion. Greece, therefore, is promoting tourism by presenting itself as “coronavirus-free”. To reinforce good results so far, the previously mentioned, ad-hoc COVID-19 scientific committee is working on creating health requirements for visitors and the tourism industry, including regular testing of hotel staff, and strict cleaning and disinfecting procedures. The government is also considering concluding bilateral agreements with other good performers such as Israel, Cyprus, Austria, and Serbia to ensure that their citizens can travel to and from Greece, or to potentially allow the entry of travellers with “immunity passports” if implemented.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What matters</h3>



<p><em>&nbsp;</em>As with any prosocial behaviour, one is forced to wonder about Greece’s motives in so effectively curtailing the spread of COVID-19 within its borders. Has it been to save lives or to save the economy? And is regaining the country’s prestige a prime purpose? At the end of the day who knows. Maybe it’s a mix of all the above. Regardless of the motives, what really matters is that policy taken so far, aside from some minor hitches, has been serious and fruitful, protecting human lives without disproportionately compromising fundamental rights.</p>
<p>Članak <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/greeces-fight-against-the-coronavirus/">Greece’s Fight Against the Coronavirus</a> se pojavljuje prvo na <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/homepage/">European Policy Centre</a>.</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">10876</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Court of Justice of the EU: rulings on legal implications of the Brexit</title>
		<link>https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/court-of-justice-of-the-eu-rulings-on-legal-implications-of-the-brexit/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sofia Tzortzi]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Apr 2019 08:17:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cep.org.rs/?post_type=blog&#038;p=11947</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Case notes on Wightman and ors C-621/18, R O C-327/18, and M.A and ors C-661/17</p>
<p>Članak <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/court-of-justice-of-the-eu-rulings-on-legal-implications-of-the-brexit/">Court of Justice of the EU: rulings on legal implications of the Brexit</a> se pojavljuje prvo na <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/homepage/">European Policy Centre</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>There was never a doubt that the Brexit would breed political, economic and legal puzzling questions around roughly… &nbsp;everything. No need to be an EU legal expert to realise what an uncertainty would be generated by the unprecedented situation of the exodus from what is so much more than merely another international treaty; the withdrawal from “a new legal order of international law”&nbsp;as consistently held by the European Court of Justice since the 1963 landmark ruling <a href="https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:61962CJ0026&amp;from=EN"><em>van Gend &amp; Loos</em></a>, “for the benefit of which the Member States thereof have limited their sovereign rights, in ever wider fields, and the subjects of which comprise not only those States but also their nationals” <a href="http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf;jsessionid=5D4A23B11D354425DF5A66AC823AAF72?text=&amp;docid=160882&amp;pageIndex=0&amp;doclang=EN&amp;mode=lst&amp;dir=&amp;occ=first&amp;part=1&amp;cid=41935">(Opinion 2/13</a>, at para&nbsp;157) and hence with an immense body of law fully integrated in the national legal systems. As Advocate General Szpunar eloquently wrote in the concluding remarks of his <a href="http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf;jsessionid=9ea7d0f130da1b5569b143454ebdbbe3ab8c4b50baf4.e34KaxiLc3eQc40LaxqMbN4Pb3uMe0?text=&amp;docid=204757&amp;pageIndex=0&amp;doclang=EN&amp;mode=req&amp;dir=&amp;occ=first&amp;part=1&amp;cid=593161">opinion for the case of <em>R O</em></a> “Brexit constitutes <em>terra incognita</em> in terms of EU law” (at para 79).</p>



<p>This <em>soupçon</em> became our daily news broadcast for the last almost three years, ever since the UK voters detonated the Brexit bomb, on 23 June 2016 and as from the notice of withdrawal in accordance with Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union (TEU) on 29 March 2017. Whereas in the immediate aftermath of the referendum -and of the <a href="https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2016-0196-judgment.pdf">judicial review</a> in the UK over national constitutional rules- legal debates concerned mostly how the de-Europeanisation of the UK legal system would develop, as the negotiation period post invocation of Art. 50 perpetuates, further legal questions arise on the UK’s rights and obligations during this unsettled lingering period.</p>



<p>Many of those issues have arisen through legal challenges. Given the complexity, the importance and the originality of the matter, the Court of Justice of the EU (CJEU) in its role to “ensure that in the interpretation and application of the Treaties the law is observed” (art.19 TEU), is called upon to rule on these questions.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Can the UK unilaterally revoke the Art. 50 TEU withdrawal notice?</strong></h3>



<p>Following Art. 50, if no deal is stroke between the Member State which has notified of its intention to depart (i.e. the UK) and the EU after two years of negotiations, the exodus takes effect automatically. Only possible resort to buy more time: a unanimous vote of the European Council “to extend this period”. Having achieved (and now slightly passed this point) the debate about extension or no extension has lately been the ‘talk of the town’. In the course of this fierce debate, a question which came up was what could happen if the UK people would decide to alter their 2016 vote over, for instance, a new referendum.</p>



<p>In this political context, the question of whether the UK may revoke its Art. 50 notification has been raised in a judicial review petitioned by Members of Scottish and European Parliaments and the House of Commons before Scotland’s supreme civil court, the Court of Session (<em>Wightman and ors, </em><a href="http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf?text=&amp;docid=208636&amp;pageIndex=0&amp;doclang=EN&amp;mode=lst&amp;dir=&amp;occ=first&amp;part=1&amp;cid=84">C-621/18</a>). The Scottish court stayed its proceedings and referred the question to the CJEU underlining that this was “a genuine and live issue, of considerable practical importance […]” (at para 29).</p>



<p>The Court held in its consistent teleological interpretative approach, in light of the Treaties as a whole and settled case-law and in corroboration with relevant&nbsp; international law instruments such as the ‘Treaty on Treaties’ (the Vienna Convention), that the <strong>Member State which invoked Art.&nbsp;50 can revoke its notification to withdraw “unilaterally, in an unequivocal and unconditional manner</strong>”.</p>



<p>Consequently, following this ruling one major uncertainty was resolved: if the UK were to decide before entry into force of the withdrawal (i.e. within the deadlines) that it wants to revoke its notice for withdrawal, it may “Bremain” without any further formality.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Is the UK a ‘lesser’ EU Member State after 29 March 2017?</strong></h3>



<p>“The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement” reads paragraph 3 of Art. 50 TEU. The assumption in construing this article would be that till entry into force of the withdrawal agreement, business carries on regardless. That said, various legal questions have arisen and continue to appear about rights and obligations of the UK towards the EU and the 27 or of other Member States towards the UK.</p>



<p>Two recent rulings of the Court revolving around the EU area of freedom security and justice, namely on asylum policy and arrest warrants, grapple with this question.</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Art. 50 notification does not preclude executing a European arrest warrant to the UK: the <em>R O</em> case (<a href="http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf;jsessionid=9ea7d0f130dc1901836d4cba4bbd9701d10ac2fef785.e34KaxiLc3eQc40LaxqMbN4Pbh0Ke0?text=&amp;docid=205871&amp;pageIndex=0&amp;doclang=en&amp;mode=req&amp;dir=&amp;occ=first&amp;part=1&amp;cid=513295">C-327/18</a>, judgement on 18 September 2018) concerned a preliminary reference made by the High Court of Ireland to the CJEU on whether a Member State has to deny surrender to the UK of a person subject to a European arrest warrant (EAW) whose surrender would otherwise be required by law, in light of the fact that the UK gave the notice of intention to withdraw under Art. 50. In other words, does the intention to withdraw undermines the level of mutual recognition and mutual trust –the principles under which lies the EAW- between the UK and the rest 27? The referring court underlines inter alia the “[…] uncertainty as to the extent to which [the subject] would, in practice, be able to enjoy rights under the Treaties, the Charter [of Fundamental Rights] or relevant legislation” (at para 26) after departure of the UK. The CJEU held that the arrest warrant had to be executed as before. In its reasoning the Court highlights that any deviation from what would be otherwise required by the UK would “be the equivalent of unilateral suspension” (at para 47) of the provisions in this case of the Framework Decision 2002/584/JHA on the EAW. In past judgements, the CJEU has recognised that Member States may place limitations ‘in exceptional circumstances’&nbsp;(at para 48) but it specifies that the notification under Art. 50 is not qualified as such. As the Court adamantly observes “such a notification [Art. 50] does not have the effect of suspending the application of EU law in the Member State that has given notice of its intention to withdraw from the European Union” (at para 45).</li>



<li>Notification to withdraw does not preclude the UK from being the responsible state for asylum: In a fairly more recent judgement issued on 23 January 2019 (<a href="http://curia.europa.eu/juris/document/document.jsf?text=&amp;docid=210174&amp;pageIndex=0&amp;doclang=EN&amp;mode=lst&amp;dir=&amp;occ=first&amp;part=1&amp;cid=406786">C-661/17</a>), regarding the application of the Dublin III Regulation, the Court examined a question coming again from the High Court of Ireland on what implications the Brexit notification could have on the Dublin system, i.e. the system determining which Member State is responsible to examine an asylum application. In the case at issue the UK would otherwise be the responsible State; the Irish Court asked if due to the UK’s Art. 50 notification, Ireland which was the determining State was obliged to examine itself the asylum applications in question and not refer them to the UK. The Court replied negatively. Reiterating what had affirmed in <em>R O</em>, that as long as the withdrawal agreement is not in force, EU law is applicable and enforceable in the UK as before (at para 54), the Court held that this cannot compel Ireland to examine an asylum application for which it is not the responsible state.</li>
</ul>



<p>There would naturally be a lot more to be discussed on other legal parameters examined and presented by the Court on these cases, but for now and the issue which concerns this post, the gist is summarised in paragraph 45 of the <em>R O </em>case: <strong>the notification on Brexit does not have a suspending effect on EU law in the UK. As long as the withdrawal agreement is not in force, EU law applies in the old fashioned way!</strong></p>



<p><em>We will follow and report back on judicial and other institutional developments related to the plight arising from the perpetuation of the ‘unique’ period and the current limbo, the most imminent being if the UK will be required to participate at the May European elections under condition that the </em><a href="https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/european-council/2019/04/10/"><em>Special European Council on 10 April 2019</em></a><em> shall unanimously accept to grant the extension </em><a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/793058/PM_letter_to_His_Excellency_Mr_Donald_Tusk__1_.pdf"><em>requested by the UK on 5 April 2019</em></a><em>. It is reminded that the legal default if no agreement is reached on the forthcoming European Council is the agreement taken by </em><a href="https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2019/03/21/european-council-art-50-conclusions-21-march-2019/"><em>EU leaders on 21 March</em></a><em>, i.e. that the UK shall leave without a deal when the clock strikes midnight CET and the day turns 13 April.</em></p>



<p><em>This post was last updated on 6 April 2019.</em></p>
<p>Članak <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/court-of-justice-of-the-eu-rulings-on-legal-implications-of-the-brexit/">Court of Justice of the EU: rulings on legal implications of the Brexit</a> se pojavljuje prvo na <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/homepage/">European Policy Centre</a>.</p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">11947</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Myths and Facts about the “Greferendum”</title>
		<link>https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/myths-and-facts-about-the-greferendum/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sofia Tzortzi]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Apr 2017 15:32:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cep.org.rs/?post_type=blog&#038;p=12070</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Greece today: shut-down banks, capital controlled, and fear of liquidity drying-up. Our lives are paused until Sunday and people are set on two opposite camps.&#160;I will not go into elaborating on the constitutionality and fairness of the announced referendum. It is a fact and we need to face it as such. We can, however, analyse [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Članak <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/myths-and-facts-about-the-greferendum/">Myths and Facts about the “Greferendum”</a> se pojavljuje prvo na <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/homepage/">European Policy Centre</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>Greece today: shut-down banks, capital controlled, and fear of liquidity drying-up. Our lives are paused until Sunday and people are set on two opposite camps.&nbsp;I will not go into elaborating on the constitutionality and fairness of the announced referendum. It is a fact and we need to face it as such. We can, however, analyse this post-result.</p>



<p>I am a supporter of “yes”. Not because I have vested interests or because I am following political leaders blindly but because it is the only choice having taken into consideration all the following elements:</p>



<p><strong>1. The referendum’s question is about approving the proposed adjustment programme of 25 June. It is not asking “are you with the Euro or not?”</strong></p>



<p><strong>Myth.&nbsp;</strong>Firstly, this draft proposal is no longer on the table. Second, the government has not made this document available to the Greek public, not even in its original version in English. Third, our EU partners have openly explained that after a “no” there is no longer a possibility to negotiate bailout terms. So, <em>de facto</em>, if our banks run out of Euros, and the ECB does not lend us more, what will we do? We will need to print our own currency.</p>



<p><strong>2. The austerity measures were only deepening the crisis.</strong></p>



<p><strong>Fact.&nbsp;</strong>Two adjustment packages for the bailout of Greece consisted of unfair, strict austerity measures that focused on over-taxation, and were targeting the middle and lower classes.</p>



<p><strong>2. The IMF, the ECB, the Eurogroup and the European Commission, have a harsh stance towards Greece.</strong></p>



<p><strong>Fact. </strong>Even after proven inefficiency, they stick on the same austerity measures with little or no reformist measures.</p>



<p><strong>3. Greece is only a victim.</strong></p>



<p><strong>Myth.&nbsp;</strong>It is not breaking news that Greece has never been a “good” EU Member State. The EU was seen as a cash cow; European funds have not been used wisely; Greece was late to transpose EU legislation. And after the crisis occurred, we kept on not responding to our obligations. Some claim this is irrelevant to the current deadlock. I disagree. Even if setting the attitude towards the EU aside, none of the recent Greek governments has had the guts to take the political responsibility to impose reforms that would boost growth and lead us out of the crisis. It would not be easy; it would demand additional sacrifices from the Greek people &#8211; especially since reform measures would need to be coupled with austerity measures &#8211; but it would be the only solution.</p>



<p><strong>3. It is all about negotiation tactics.</strong></p>



<p><strong>Myth.</strong>Actually, not at all. The current government won last elections under this flag with the dogma that austerity measures were due to previous government’s incapacity to negotiate well. The truth of the matter is that we failed to apply a proper reform programme so far because the governments were not proper players. Failure was due to their entrapment into populist and clientelist practices. Driven by Mr Varoufakis to put into practice his infamous “game theories,” we launched a power game which transformed Greece from partner to enemy.</p>



<p><strong>4. The debt is illegal, illegitimate, unsustainable and odious. Write it off.</strong></p>



<p><strong>An irrelevant fact! </strong>Yes, in 2009 something tragic happened: Greece could not borrow from the markets and had to be bailed-out. Yes, the incapacity to borrow was set off as Greece was blurring information on the country’s huge public debt which triggered downgrading from illicit rating agencies. Yes, measures taken under the adjustment programmes were politically oriented and the debt is not sustainable. Yes, we should decouple irrational financial transactions from real economy. However, erasing the debt would not heal the severely sick Greek economy. And let’s face it. Now we have borrowed from sovereign countries; not from faceless markets… They want their money back!</p>



<p>I believe all my fellow citizens are taking positions either “yes” or “no” with sincere motives. Still, I think that the argument behind the support of the “no” – that it will lead to a better negotiating position &#8211; is wrong and extremely risky.</p>



<p>It became crystal clear the Greek government’s poker game has turned into a Russian roulette lot, with a known position of the bullet in the calyx. And a “no” outcome on Sunday would be synonymous to pulling the trigger.</p>
<p>Članak <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/blog/myths-and-facts-about-the-greferendum/">Myths and Facts about the “Greferendum”</a> se pojavljuje prvo na <a href="https://cep.org.rs/en/homepage/">European Policy Centre</a>.</p>
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